In the tournament opener between the two teams at Hagley Oval on Saturday, there are many match-ups that could a vital role in deciding which way the pendulum of fortune swings.
Lasith Malinga v Brendon McCullum
Malinga hasn't played an ODI since August. McCullum thinks Sri Lanka are a lifted side with Malinga back. In 15 games against New Zealand, Malinga has dismissed McCullum just twice (both times bowled). Malinga is desperate to play as many games as possible in the World Cup. McCullum averages 22.65 versus Sri Lanka. McCullum is itching to make a meaningful contribution to New Zealand's home World Cup campaign. McCullum is prone to getting carried away as an opener. Malinga is key to Sri Lanka up front and at the back end. McCullum is key to New Zealand up front and at the back end. Who blinks first?
Trent Boult v Kumar Sangakkara
Boult is half of New Zealand's potent new-ball attack, and took five wickets in the last warm-up to consign South Africa to a big defeat. He is quick, he can move the ball and he's confident. During the recent ODIs, three of Boult's five wickets were left-hand batsmen, including Sangakkara in the Dunedin game. In Tests, he has had Sangakkara's number four times too. The veteran Sri Lanka wicketkeeper-batsman had a profitable ODI series, scoring 321 runs at 64.20 to follow the Tests in which he averaged 53.75. In his final World Cup, Sangakkara is keen to sign off and hitting the ground running is crucial.
Grant Elliott v Angelo Mathews
Both allrounders bat at No 5 and bowl medium pace for their respective teams, and both could have big role to play in the tournament. Elliott, 35, earned a surprise recall for the World Cup and in his recent ODIs, he averages 71.50 with the bat and 22.57 with the ball - very handy figures to show for. Mathews recently returned from three weeks of injury time and had two poor outings from three with the bat, including a golden duck in Nelson. His brisk seam-up deliveries proved better for him, but Mathews will need to be much better in all facets to cover for top-order failure or more shoddy work from Sri Lanka's main quick bowlers. He and Elliott are crucial ingredients to both teams, but in the conditions in New Zealand they could end up being more significant.
Daniel Vettori v Rangana Herath
The two wily left-arm spinners have a fair bit to prove, though you won't hear them say it. Herath, 36, was Sri Lanka's most economical spinner in the ODI series against New Zealand but few will back him to take many wickets in these conditions. He recently spoke of how precision will bring the slow bowlers success in the World Cup as opposed to big spin, and backing his talk will not only lift him but also a Sri Lankan bowling attack that leaked plenty of runs against New Zealand. Across the line is Vettori, 35, who had an economy rate of 4.30 in five ODIs against Sri Lanka but not a single wicket to show for his bowling. Pace is expected to dominate spin by a big margin in the World Cup, but Herath and Vettori will have key roles to play in the middle overs.
Sri Lanka v the batting Powerplay
Mathews' team has had trouble with this mandatory five-over period for some time. In India, it proved massive in a 5-0 loss. In New Zealand, while not as damning, the batsmen's inability to work the ball around for enough runs has again been decisive for the most. At Hagley Oval in January, they scored 24 runs between overs 36-40 for the loss of one wicket to en route to 218, a total which Sri Lanka could not defend. In Hamilton, they scored 26 without loss. In Nelson, 28 without loss but a total of 276 again wasn't enough. In the first Dunedin game, chasing 361, they lost three wickets for 43 runs in the batting Powerplay. In the second, in pursuit of 316, they went from 171 for 7 to 192 for 9 during that block. And lastly in Wellington, they lost 2/24 in the batting Powerplay. In a World Cup, the margin of error is much finer. (Cricbuzz)